It’s acknowledged as Europe’s premier middle-distance championship and on Sunday afternoon in Paris the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe will be the stage for the final act of Enable’s career.
The star mare bids for history in attempting to become the first three-time Arc winner and it would be a fairytale finish if she can do it for John Gosden, Frankie Dettori and her legion of fans.
As much as an Enable win would be a joy to behold, there’s more value to be had in supporting the home team at Longchamp. Our tipster gives you his win selection and an each-way play against the favourite.
Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe tips 2020
Scroll down to find out why Enda McElhinney thinks Enable is worth taking on and why he believes Sotssass will be the horse to thwart her designs on history.
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Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe betting tips and big race analysis
No value in backing Enable
The news on Thursday morning that Aidan O’Brien had taken out dual Classic winner Love was a blow to this race. She is by some way the most exciting Epsom Oaks winner since Enable and a generational clash would have been brilliant to witness.
Her defection leaves Enable as favourite at around 5/4 and, whilst it would be brilliant to see her win, that’s just not a price to be getting involved with. History is against the brilliant mare.
Six-year-olds don’t win the Arc and, despite Waldgeist winning as a five-year-old last year, she’ll have to make a mockery of the trends to succeed.
Enable is a stunning mare and Gosden has managed her career splendidly. This race has been the sole target in 2020 and maybe the fractured nature of the racing calendar in this strange time could play into her hands.
If she prevails it will be one of the greatest racing stories of modern times and nobody can begrudge it but, for betting purposes, the head swerves clear of the heart.
Still want to back Enable? Check out these Enable Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe betting offers.
Sottsass should thrive on ground
André Fabre struck a blow for France last year with Waldgeist’s win – a first for the host nation since the mighty Treve’s second success in 2014. Jean-Claude Rouget has every right to hope SOTTSASS can do likewise on Sunday.
Like Enable, this race has been the target circled on the calendar for the four-year-old all season. He won the Prix Ganay at Chantilly in June on his second start back and, after going down narrowly at Deauville in August, ran a respectable fourth last time out in the Irish Champion Stakes, just two lengths behind the winner Magical and Ghaiyyath.
He was quietly fancied for that race and lost little in defeat. A return to this mile-and-a-half trip will be ideal and the rain that’s fallen and remains forecast before post-time on Sunday will be music to the ears of Team Rouget.
The horse’s experience in the race a year ago is going to be a major asset. He finished third, one place behind Enable on that occasion, suggesting he perhaps isn’t getting the billing he warrants.
Oh that Arc run he’s got less than two lengths to find with John Gosden’s mare and, like the headline act, it feels as though this season has been all about getting Sottsass back to Longchamp for this target. At an each-way price, he’s a lively contender to beat the history-seeking mare.
All the Way To Paris
Love is not in the Parisian air this weekend but Ballydoyle come strongly equipped with Mogul, Sovereign, Japan and shock Epsom Derby winner Serpentine the quartet remaining for O’Brien.
Japan is winless in four starts this season but finished fourth in this a year ago. The soft ground may help. It would be something of a quirk should Yutaka Take ride this aptly named contender to Arc glory, given his nation’s unsatisfied craving for glory in the race.
The actual Japanese star Deirdre hasn’t shone this term and will need a massive turnaround to come home in front for Jamie Spencer.
Ryan Moore opts for Mogul after Love’s defection. The Grand Prix De Paris winner over course and distance recently, defeating the reopposing In Swoop, he will have to prove himself on testing ground.
All this and we’ve not mentioned the other Gosden-trainer superstar in the field, Stradivarius. A star he is, but even allowing for very testing conditions, this trip surely is too sharp for the world’s best stayer to win.
There are so many plausible arguments in this great race this year. Of those rated big outsiders, another French contender is worth a look in WAY TO PARIS for trainer Andrea Marcialis.
He hardly fits the profile for a winner of this contest. He’s seven years old but is enjoying the best season of his career.
Way To Paris won a Group 1 at Saint Cloud in June over 1m 4f, having gone down by a head in second behind Sottsass in elite company at Chantilly over 1m 2f a fortnight earlier.
He wasn’t disgraced here in his only outing since, beaten three lengths in fifth behind Anthony Van Dyck in the Prix Foy.
Marcialis’s veteran should handle the soft ground and at a tasty price he wouldn’t look completely out of place in the frame. Given the conundrums around the Ballydoyle runners, he might be worth an each-way play in the Arc.
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